The One Million Member Pool: When Will We Cross One Million Members? [closed]

Question

Hello there!

As some of you may have noticed, we are rather close to crossing one million WikiTree members! This post serves as a place for existing members to GUESS when we will cross that threshold. As of 12:25 am UTC 26 Apr 2023, we have 997,020 individuals signed up as members.

Place your estimations below, down to the minute, seeing how close we are. The metrics should allow us to see when this threshold is crossed. Who knows maybe there will be a prize or something. :)

Good luck!

Comments

Good idea, Steven! See also the following :-)

https://www.wikitree.com/g2g/1572580/who-will-be-wikitrees-one-millionth-member

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Who will it be and when will it be!

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Yes, Jim. I was aware of that. We wanted to take this a step further. :)

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I wonder what the split is between active and inactive members. However, before we can answer that, the criterion for “active” needs to be established.

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Great post, Steve! Eowyn, let's give a WikiTree t-shirt or coffee mug to whomever guesses the closest (if posted, say, a week or more before it happens), and to the member who is #1,000,000.

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And a Wikitree t-shirt and coffee mug to the one millionth!

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My suspicion is that there are more inactive members than active members. Inactive members would be those who originally signed up and initially posted a few profiles, but then stopped posting because they lost interest and/or found the WT posting process to be too difficult.

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I'll throw out a guess, but will not officially participate as a potential prize winner.

Sunday, May 7th @ 07:07 PM UTC.

--
@David Chawes - see this post by Chris.

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Should we have weekly updates as to new members?

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The splash page shows a daily (at least) update. This is what is there right now:

Our tree includes 34,244,715 profiles (11,500,921 with DNA test connections) edited by 997,676 members from around the world.

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We're at 998,188.  I think we're within the 1 week mark. 

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May 11th 2:00pm GMT

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Thurs 4 May 1640 BST (1540 GMT)

May the Fourth be with you.

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It looks like this is over now and I was 57 minutes off.  Has anyone else gotten closer?

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whst time did it happen and who was closest?

Answer 1

June 25th @ 1:16 p.m.

Answer 2

1st pick -  Star Wars Day ( May the 4th)

Comments

I'm not gonna say I'm biased, but I really like your answer. :)

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I’ve watching the count on the splash page. This is a really good estimate!

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Well I was Close :-)

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I really thought you would win it but then it slowed down.

Answer 3

It might be on July 18th at 6pm EST

Comments

Suppose that should be 6 pm EDT 

Answer 4

May 11 at 12:02am EST

Answer 5

May 15 at 3:15 pm (15:15 in military time) in honor of WikiTree's birthday coming up!

Comments

Great guess!

Answer 6

13 May 2023 16:21 EST

Answer 7

7 PM Jun 18, 2023- I'll go as far to say they will be a cousin of mine. Besides, it would make a great 40th anniversary gift, she doesn't like rubies.

Answer 8

I am going with June 6 at noon.

Both great grandsons born that day 3 years apart - must be good luck.

Answer 9

July 4th 3 pm

Answer 10

19 september at 5.30am

Answer 11

14th of May 15:00 GMT.

Answer 12

May 27th, 10:00 am

EDIT: Central European Summer Time (GMT+2)

Answer 13

May 7th, 3pm GMT -3

Answer 14

June 20th 2:30 PM

Answer 15

May 18 2023, 6:35pm

Answer 16

guessing 15th July 10:26 BST

Answer 17

May 19th @ 10:45 a.m. EDT

Answer 18

5 May, 12 noon UTC.

Comments

well if not the 4th - then I guess then Stu's 5th will be it.

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Cinco de mayo, baby!!

Answer 19

Such awesome answers.

My choice is May 10, UTC 12:30.

Edited for stupidity in arithmetical calculations.

Answer 20

This sounds fun! July 12, 07:12 UTC.